Political Polls Today: Kamala Harris vs. Trump in Final Swing State Surveys

There are just three days until Election Day and recent polling shows Vice President Kamala Harris up in Nevada, Georgia, Michigan and Wisconsin while former President Donald Trump is ahead in Arizona and North Carolina, with the two candidates essentially tied in Pennsylvania.
The race between Harris, the Democratic presidential nominee, and Trump, the Republican presidential nominee, remains close with the seven swing states looking like a toss-up. There are, however, small gains being made by both candidates in battleground state polling ahead of November 5.
Newsweek reached out to Harris and Trump’s campaigns via email for comment Saturday afternoon.
Here is some of the latest polling data in the seven swing states:
Harris is up by 2 points among 721 likely Nevada voters with 49 percent voter support compared to Trump’s 47 percent, according to Data for Progress, a progressive think tank and polling firm, which conducted its survey between October 25 and 31. The poll’s margin of error is plus or minus 4 percentage points.
Poll aggregator 538 shows a tighter race in Nevada, with Trump leading Harris by 0.4 points. Their polling averages, which look at a plethora of polling data rather than just one poll, shows Trump with 47.7 percent and Harris with 47.3 percent as of Saturday afternoon.
Harris is up in Georgia by 1 point, according to Data for Progress. Of the 972 likely Georgia voters surveyed, 49 percent said they’d vote for Harris while 48 percent said Trump. The poll’s margin of error is plus or minus 3 percentage points.
Meanwhile, 538 has Trump with a 1.5-point lead over Harris in the Peach State (48.6 to 47.1 percent) as of Saturday afternoon.
Harris also had a 4-point lead over Trump in Michigan in a UMass Lowell/YouGov poll conducted from October 16 to 23. Of the 600 likely Michigan voters surveyed, 49 percent supported Harris and 45 percent supported Trump. The poll’s margin of error is plus or minus 4.49 percent.
The vice president is also ahead of Trump, albeit by a smaller margin, in 538’s polling averages from Saturday afternoon. She’s leading Trump by 1.1 points (48 to 46.9 percent).
Harris is ahead of Trump by 1.8 points in Wisconsin, according to a poll conducted by ActiVote, a data-based nonpartisan app that educates voters, from October 10 to November 1. Of the 400 likely Wisconsin voters that were surveyed, 50.9 percent supported Harris and 49.1 percent supported Trump. The poll has a margin of error of 4.9 percent.
The vice president is also leading Trump in 538’s Wisconsin polling averages, but it’s only by 0.8 points (48.2 to 47.4 percent) as of Saturday afternoon.
Trumpwas ahead of Harris in Arizona when Data for Progress polled 1,079 likely voters from the state. The former president had 48 percent to Harris’ 47 percent. The poll’s margin of error is plus or minus 3 percentage points.
On average, Trump has a 2.1-point lead over Harris in Arizona (48.8 to 46.7 percent), according to 538’s numbers from Saturday afternoon.
Trump is also ahead in North Carolina in the UMass Lowell/YouGov poll. Of the 650 likely North Carolina voters, 47 percent said they’d vote for Trump while 45 percent said they’d vote for Harris. The poll’s margin of error is plus or minus 4.2 percent.
Looking at 538’s polling average in the Tar Heel State, Trump has a 1.3-point edge over Harris (48.4 to 47.1 percent) as of Saturday afternoon.
Pennsylvania is a super close race between Harris and Trump like Nevada.
Data for Progress has Harris ahead of Trump by 2 points among 908 likely Pennsylvania voters (50 to 48 percent). The poll’s margin of error is plus or minus 3 percentage points.
The UMass Lowell/YouGov poll has the two nearly tied, with Harris taking 48 percent and Trump taking 47 percent. The state poll surveyed 800 likely voters and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.73 percent.
Meanwhile, a new USA Today/Suffolk University poll has Harris and Trump tied with 49 percent of the vote each. The poll was conducted from October 27 to 30, surveyed 500 likely Pennsylvania voters and has a margin of error of 4.4 percentage points.
Trump is leading Harris by 0.1 points in 538’s Pennsylvania polling average from Saturday afternoon (47.8 to 47.7 percent).
Harris has a 1.2-point lead over Trump in 538’s national polling average from Saturday afternoon (48 to 46.8 percent).
National polls just predict the popular vote because of America’s Electoral College system, which awards the presidency to the candidate with 270 or more electoral votes, which are distributed to states based on its number of senators and representatives, rather than the overall number of votes cast across the country. On the other hand, national polls can help to anticipate trends in state polls.